Long-range forecasting

from crystal ball to computer
  • 687 Pages
  • 0.95 MB
  • 7519 Downloads
  • English
by
Wiley , New York, Chichester
Forecasting -- Methodo
StatementJ. Scott Armstrong.
Classifications
LC ClassificationsCB158
The Physical Object
Paginationxxvii,687p. :
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL22641293M
ISBN 100471823600, 0471822604

Comprehensively covers all aspects of long-range forecasting methods relevant to the social, behavioral and management sciences. This book is a synthesis of research in economics, sociology, psychology, transportation, education, and management--with occasional references to work in medicine, meterology, and by: Sloan Management Review: "Long-Range Forecasting is a book that almost anyone involved in forecasting (practicing managers and forecasting professionals alike), will find interesting and useful.

It is an unusualCited by: 5. Product Information. Comprehensively covering all aspects of long-range forecasting methods relevant to the social, behavioral and management sciences, this book is a synthesis of research in economics, sociology, psychology, transportation, education, and management - with occasional references to work in medicine, meterology, and technology.

Professor Armstrong is the author of Long-Range Forecasting and he is a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, the International Journal of Forecasting, the International Institute of Forecasting and the International Symposium on Forecasting.

Long-range forecasting book book gives you the framework to work within. Other books give the math background for each of the techniques. The author has been very active in writing articles for journals and has helped start a journal for the forecasting field.

Must have book, if you make any kind of forecasts - including just forecasting your business's sales/5(6). Long Range Planning Vol.

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12 April Recent Trends in Long Range Forecasting for Technology-Based Organizations-Book Review Article Brian C. Twiss* The importance of forecasting as one of the essential inputs to long range planning is Author: Brian C.

Twiss. Long-range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer Jon Scott Armstrong, Scott J. Armstrong Snippet view - Long-range forecasting: from crystal ball to computer5/5(1).

Open Library is an open, editable library catalog, building towards a web page for every book ever published. Long-range forecasting by Jon Scott Armstrong,Wiley edition, in English - 2nd ed.

Long-range Long-range forecasting book ( edition) | Open LibraryCited by: Genre/Form: Conference papers and proceedings Congresses: Additional Physical Format: Online version: Symposium on Long-Range Forecasting and Planning (.

Scott Armstrong (born Ma ) is an author, Long-range forecasting book and marketing expert, and a professor of Marketing at the Wharton School of the University of also serves as a Policy Expert at the Heartland Institute, a conservative and libertarian public policy think mater: MIT Sloan School of.

Comprehensively covering all aspects of long-range forecasting methods relevant to the social, behavioral and management sciences, this book is a synthesis of research in economics, sociology, Read more.

Long-Range Forecasting, 2nd. ed, is based heavily on empirical studies and demonstrated many useful forecasting techniques to attain higher levels of accuracy.

The book incorporates supportive answers when wondering which forecasting method is best to use in give situations, or the advantages or disadvantages for each by: J. Scott Armstrong. Professor of Marketing.

Professor Armstrong is internationally known for his pioneering work on forecasting methods. He is author of Long-Range Forecasting, the most frequently cited book on forecasting methods, and Principles of Forecasting, voted the “Favorite Book – First 25 Years” by researchers and practitioners associated with the International.

Forecasting is valuable to businesses so that they can make informed business decisions. Financial forecasts are fundamentally informed guesses, and there are risks involved in relying on past. Five films are currently slated for wide release on Friday, March 9, although several remain up in the air in terms of exact release strategies.

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The one we can safely bet on, though, is Disney’s latest live action adaptation. Our early analysis and updated forecasts follow: A Wrinkle In Time Disney PROS: Disney has plenty [ ].

Inafter 23 years of research, he published his "key" to long-range weather forecasting, being this book. Confident of his ability, in the spring of McCormack predicted one of the most severe winters in decades, specifically forecasting the infamous snows of Decem He was nationally famous overnight.

Self-Organized Complexity in the Physical, Biological, and Social Sciences () Chapter: 'Waves' vs. 'particles' in the atmosphere's phase space: A pathway to long-range forecasting.

Description Long-range forecasting PDF

Description of an experimental trend-predicting exercise covering a time period as far as 50 years into the future. The Delphi technique is used in soliciting the opinions of experts in six areas: scientific breakthroughs, population growth, automation, space progress, probability and prevention of war, and future weapon by:   There’s a lot we can learn from long-range weather forecasts.

There’s real science in reputable long-range weather forecasting and meteorologists are always working to improve their methods Author: Dennis Mersereau.

By J. Scott Armstrong, Published on 01/01/ Recommended Citation. Armstrong, J. Long-Range Forecasting (2nd Edition).Cited by: 5. Available in the National Library of Australia collection. Author: Jones, Inigo, ; Format: Book, Online; 27 p.: ill., port ; 24 cm. Proceedings of the Joint Conference "Forecasting in Action" (M.

BRAMSON, I. HELPS and J. WATSON-GANDY, Eds.), published by the O.R. Society and Long Range Planning Society. How to. Professor Armstrong is the author of Long-Range Forecasting and he is a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, the International Journal of Forecasting, the International Institute of Forecasting and the International Symposium on Forecasting.

For additional information on the book and on the Forecasting Principles Project, see   Inafter 23 years of research, he published his "key" to long-range weather forecasting, being this book. Confident of his ability, in the spring of McCormack predicted one of the most severe winters in decades, specifically forecasting the infamous snows of Decem He was nationally famous : George J.

Mccormack. Book review Full text access Long range forecasting: From crystal ball to computer: J. Scott Armstrong, Wiley-Interscience, Chichester (), pp.

An introduction to a method for making long-range ( years) forecasts of Soviet strategic weapon developments. As the end product of a heuristic reasoning process, the methodology has a "requirements" orientation, based on clues from Soviet military writing, Soviet technology, and Soviet acquisition practices.

Long-Range Forecasting (2nd Edition), J. Scott Armstrong, First published inLong-Range Forecasting was updated in A review of the 1st edition was printed in the Atlantic Economic Journal, ; in it, Gordon Welty called the book "comprehensive, readable, and witty."The book is designed to answer the question "Which forecasting.

Formalized long-range business planning, in particular that taught as a discipline in business schools or just reported in business books, has a history that goes back to the mid 20th century.

2 Proactive management. 3 Types of uncertainty. 4 Forecasting, budgeting and organizational dynamics.

The post boom in business theory led, in the. Long Range Forecasting (from Crystal Ball to Computer), by J. Scorr ARMSTRONG, Wiley, pp. The main aim of the author of Long Range Forecasting is to give a readable comprehensive guide to forecasting methods from short term to long term and at the same time could be used as a reference book.

Long-Range Dependence and Sea Level Forecasting. by Ali Ercan,M. Levent Kavvas,Rovshan K. Abbasov. SpringerBriefs in Statistics. Share your thoughts Complete your review. Tell readers what you thought by rating and reviewing this book.

Rate it * You Rated it *Brand: Springer International Publishing. There’s a lot of money to be made or lost as long-range forecasting gets more accurate.” Meteorology is a ways off from providing consistent, spot-on, day forecasts, but between analog forecasts, computer modeling and sources like farmers’ almanacs, Day said he looks forward to seeing what future holds.FORECASTING ACROSS THE ORGANIZATION Forecasting is an excellent example of an activity that is critical to the management of all functional areas within a company.

In business organizations, forecasts are - Selection from Operations Management: An Integrated Approach, 5th Edition [Book].Long-Range Forecasting (Full Monograph PDF) View the full book (PDF) Overview.

This monograph introduces simple "investment value" models for forecasting longer-range returns to stocks and bonds. The author based the models on patterns of longer-range financial market behavior visible in data.

He describes the derivation of the models.